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NFL Week 2 value picks & weak betting lines to exploit

NFL Week 2 value picks & weak betting lines to exploit 1

Week 2 will function a full slate of NFL video games, however there are a selected few the place the strains appear a bit smooth.

Let’s isolate these contests and seize the money this weekend.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

Sunday, Sept. 15, 1 p.m. ET

After a fast examine of the NFL odds, it seems the New England Patriots will probably be lining up towards the Miami Mannequins this coming Sunday.

Most of the greatest on-line sportsbooks are dealing the Pats as 19-point highway favorites, and regardless of the lofty line, there will probably be loads of squares lining as much as guess them hand over fist. In spite of everything, New England trounced the Steelers by 30 factors at house final week whereas the Dolphins made the Ravens’ second-year quarterback, Lamar Jackson, seem like a lock for Canton of their 59-10 season-opening drubbing.

By itself, that will be greater than sufficient to woo the chalk-eaters to gleefully again New England of their NFL picks, however consider Antonio Brown as a newly added weapon of destruction within the Evil Genius’ arsenal, and now you’ve received the lock of the century. We’re not fairly certain what quantity the books might toss out to stop the general public from mindlessly betting the Patriots on this state of affairs, nonetheless, the oddsmakers know that in the event that they get too grasping, the sharps will seize all these factors on the house underdog and will make it a expensive error.

MORE: Get the newest NFL odds at Sportsbook Evaluation

There are a number of explanation why the Dolphins are a worth guess right here. In the beginning, Antonio Brown has but to be built-in into an offense that’s extremely complicated and can take time to assimilate. Secondly, the Patriots have traditionally not fared properly in Miami as evidenced by the next:

— Patriots are 1-6 ATS of their final seven conferences in Miami

— Patriots are 3-7 ATS of their final 10 highway video games vs. a staff with a dropping house report

— Dolphins are 7-2 ATS of their final 9 house video games vs. a staff with a profitable highway report

Final 12 months, the Pats rolled into Miami in early December as 9 1/2-point highway favorites and misplaced the sport, 34-33. The 12 months earlier than that, New England was put in as a 10 1/2-point favourite and misplaced that contest by the rating of 27-20.

Lastly, let’s not delude ourselves that this 12 months’s version of the Pittsburgh Steelers, the one waxed final week by the Patriots, is something greater than a .500 staff in the event that they’re fortunate. Groups are by no means are good as they give the impression of being on their greatest day, nor as unhealthy as they give the impression of being on their worst. Seize the factors, and the worth, on the Fish and money a ticket.

Ultimate rating: Patriots 31, Dolphins 17

Free NFL choose: Miami +19

MORE WEEK 2 PICKS: Straight up | Towards the unfold

Arizona Cardinals at Baltimore Ravens

Sunday, Sept. 15, 1 p.m. ET

Don’t wait too lengthy on getting down on a value-laden highway underdog right here as a result of this line is slowly trickling all the way down to 13 ½ at among the greatest on-line sportsbooks. The hoopla will probably be centered on Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson’s Herculean efficiency in Week 1 when he torched the Dolphins for 5 landing passes and 324 yards by the air. Let’s take nothing away from the second-year quarterback as a result of he was very good.

Nevertheless, there will probably be one other younger gun roaming the gridiron at M&T Financial institution Stadium this Sunday and he occurs to be the No. 1 general choose on this 12 months’s draft, Kyler Murray. In his rookie debut, Murray rallied his troops from an 18-point deficit, culminating in a 27-27 tie with the Lions. Let’s be clear, the Ravens won’t win by double-digits each week and Lamar Jackson won’t evoke photos of Thor’s Hammer leaving his opponents thunderstruck after each recreation.

Jackson was terrific final week whereas Murray was higher than anticipated and poised past his years within the first recreation of his skilled profession. This two-touchdown impost is an overreaction to a shocking efficiency by the Ravens and it wouldn’t shock us in the event that they took the Redbirds frivolously this week with a go to to Arrowhead looming in Week 3. Don’t be a sq., be a pointy and again the Cardinals +14 this week.

Ultimate rating: Ravens 27, Cardinals 20

Free NFL choose: Arizona +14


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