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Fantasy Draft Strategy: Using bye weeks, rankings to win your fantasy league

Fantasy Draft Strategy: Using bye weeks, rankings to win your fantasy league 1

Fantasy soccer homeowners do not get bye weeks. As an alternative, we now have to take care of the fallout of the byes — that precious missed time of our valuable draft picks and waiver-wire acquisitions. So, bye weeks develop into simply one other facet of draft technique. Rankings lists and cheat sheets typically function gamers’ byes proper subsequent to their names, however most fantasy homeowners simply ignore them. Do you have to, or is there a method you should utilize them to your benefit?

Earlier than we go any additional, let’s lay out the 2019 bye schedule. It should do you no good to hold out any of the draft methods beneath if you do not know a given participant’s bye week. Byes run from Weeks 4-12 this season, with three weeks of two groups on bye, 5 weeks of 4 groups on bye, and one week of six groups on bye.

DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Final 2019 Fantasy Cheat Sheet

2019 NFL Schedule: Bye weeks

Week 4: Jets, 49ers

Week 5: Lions, Dolphins

Week 6: Payments, Bears, Colts, Raiders

Week 7: Panthers, Browns, Steelers, Buccaneers

Week 8: Ravens, Cowboys

Week 9: Falcons, Bengals, Rams, Saints

Week 10: Broncos, Texans, Jaguars, Patriots, Eagles, Redskins

Week 11: Packers, Giants, Seahawks, Titans

Week 12: Cardinals, Chiefs, Chargers, Vikings

When contemplating bye weeks, determining replacements is likely one of the first issues that involves thoughts. That is one thing that you could glean partly from energy of schedule evaluation, the place you’ll be able to see which gamers with exploitable matchups you’ll be able to goal as your backups. That is particularly vital for positions like quarterback and tight finish, the place there could be a big drop-off out of your starter to your backup.

2019 STANDARD RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Operating again | Extensive Receiver | Tight Finish | D/ST | Kicker | Prime 200

However this specific article discusses how one can plan for bye weeks on draft day. We lay out the professionals and cons of ignoring byes, stacking them, spreading them out, or placing them off till later within the season. They’re all choices that might give you the results you want. Use this record and the examples that go together with it to overcome byes and dominate your fantasy league

2019 PPR RANKINGS:
Operating again | Extensive receiver | Tight finish | Prime 200

Fantasy Soccer Draft Technique: Tips on how to deal with bye weeks

Technique No. 1: Ignore byes utterly

In order for you one much less factor to consider on draft day, this technique will give you the results you want. Most draft rooms or cheat sheets will embrace every gamers’ bye week, however for the sake of this technique, merely act like these numbers aren’t there.

The profit to this technique, in idea, is that it means that you can at all times draft the very best participant at a given spot. Clearly, you may be taking place into consideration to fill out your lineup, however you will not ever go somebody up or goal somebody too early due to their bye. Reasonably, you can go after the gamers you maintain within the highest regard.

This technique additionally helps account for the truth that caring about bye weeks on the again finish of your roster will be foolish anyway, as you may have cycled lots of these gamers out by the point bye weeks come round. Accidents will strike, pickups will emerge, matchups will likely be extra/much less favorable than you realized. Who is aware of what your beginning lineup will likely be in Week 6? So, once more, ignoring byers simply helps you draft the very best reserves in your roster.

In fact, there are pitfalls to this technique. Ultimately, you may have to concentrate to bye weeks, even when that is simply whereas setting your lineup in Week Four and also you discover a pair gamers do not have video games. If you have not paid consideration till midseason, situations you do not wish to take care of might sneak up on you.

How this performs out in a draft: You simply observe your rankings and cheat sheets. No bye-week planning implies that no matter your regular technique is will work simply nice (until it is a dangerous technique to start with).

MORE: Greenback values | IDP rankings | Greatest ball suggestions | Crew names

Technique No. 2: Stack one bye week

If ignoring byes is excessive in a single path, that is simply as excessive the opposite method. In a variety of statistical methods, attempting to get gamers with byes in the identical week is smart. Certain, you’re most likely going to lose that week (however perhaps not — you by no means know), however you may be at full energy each different week. Your opponents will not be capable to declare that.

For reference, 9 weeks of the NFL season have byes this 12 months. So, in case you play this technique, you can be in bother one week however have a bonus in eight different weeks, conceptually. This could be a robust technique to draft for with conventional cheat sheets since you may need to do some bouncing round. It is unlikely the very best participant(s) accessible whenever you’re drafting can have the identical bye. You may need to pressure just a few picks, which might imply you are getting weaker gamers.

A technique this blows up in your face is in case you abandon it too quickly within the draft. Perhaps you’ve got determined you merely cannot get behind one or two of the draft-pick reaches it could require. However then you definately’re simply worse off in a number of weeks. The opposite method this flops is in case you decide the incorrect week and are pressured to pick a excessive majority of your gamers from solely a few groups, perhaps groups that are not even that good.

How this performs out in a draft: Primarily, you goal gamers who line up with the given bye week you wish to tank. There are six weeks with at the very least 4 groups on a bye this season, so we’ll put collectively what a fast, moderately drafted QB-RB-RB-WR-WR-WR-TE lineup might appear like that every one function a given bye week.

Week 6: Andrew Luck, Tarik Cohen, Josh Jacobs, Antonio Brown, T.Y. Hilton, Allen Robinson, Trey Burton

Week 7: Baker Mayfield, Christian McCaffrey, Nick Chubb, D.J. Moore, Chris Godwin, James Washington, O.J. Howard

Week 9: Matt Ryan, Alvin Kamara, Devonta Freeman, A.J. Inexperienced, Robert Woods, Tyler Boyd, Jared Prepare dinner

Week 10 (six byes): Deshaun Watson, Leonard Fournette, Lamar Miller, DeAndre Hopkins, Julian Edelman, Alshon Jeffery, Zach Ertz

Week 11: Aaron Rodgers, Saquon Barkley, Aaron Jones, Tyler Lockett, Sterling Shepard, Corey Davis, Evan Engram

Week 12: Kyler Murray, David Johnson, Austin Ekeler, Adam Thielen, Stefon Diggs, Mike Williams, Travis Kelce (Might additionally execute Patrick Mahomes at QB and Hunter Henry at TE)

These hinge considerably on what decide it’s important to open your draft. When you’ve got the eighth decide, you should not pursue the Week 11 lineup since you could not get Saquon Barkley. Additionally, to level out the apparent: You will give your self the most important uncooked whole of gamers to select from in case you determine to stack Week 10 since that is the one week with six groups on a bye.

FANTASY SLEEPERS:
Eight QBs | 14 RBs | 11 WRs | 11 TEs | 6 D/STs | One from every group

Technique No. 3: Draft as many alternative bye weeks as potential

That is the other technique to stacking one bye week. As an alternative, you purposely do not decide anybody overlapping in bye with one in every of your gamers for so long as you’ll be able to. In idea, this might carry itself out by means of 9 rounds, since there are 9 separate weeks with byes in 2019.

If we ignore the potential of accidents and underperformance (very doubtless issues), this technique can play out OK in your fantasy group. As soon as byes begin, you may at all times be lacking one key piece. Perhaps it is your third-round decide, however you continue to have eight of your first 9 picks accessible to hopefully overcome it.

The issue with this technique is that issues by no means play out such as you’re anticipating. As quickly as somebody will get damage or loses their job, this technique blows up in your face. It is also a technique that does not actually permit for RB handcuffs in case you’re following it wholeheartedly as a result of handcuffs clearly have the identical bye because the man you are handcuffing. So, in case you’re a giant handcuffer, this technique won’t be for you.

How this performs out in a draft: For the primary few rounds, you draft mainly as regular, probably avoiding a specific participant since you’ve already drafted somebody with that bye week. However after you’ve got reached, say, Spherical 5, you are actually pigeon-holing your self into specific alternatives to keep away from byes you have already got. You may go quite a lot of methods through the second half of your draft. When you select to draft one other set of 9 gamers with differing byes, it’s going to make your previous couple of alternatives much less based mostly on upside and extra based mostly on the quantity within the column subsequent to their title. Here is an instance, with FantasyPros composite ADP as a place to begin, of how your first 9 picks might look beginning with the primary decide in a 12-team league.

Choose No. 1: Saquon Barkley (bye week 11), Leonard Fournette (10), Keenan Allen (12), David Montgomery (6), Cooper Kupp (9), Robby Anderson (4), Cam Newton (7), Dak Prescott (8), T.J. Hockenson (5)

As you’ll be able to see with this draft technique, it is arduous to keep away from reaching for the final three or 4 picks. When you have been to take gamers from the two-team bye weeks along with your first three picks (Weeks 4, 5, and eight), you’d have higher potential to have choices when it will get to that again half of your first 9 alternatives.

Technique No. 4: Draft solely late bye weeks

For the sake of discussing this technique, for example you unfold your gamers’ bye weeks evenly throughout the ultimate 4 weeks of byes, Weeks 9-12. There are two potential advantages to this method.

The primary is available in evaluating your roster and making strikes. You will not have to maneuver on from that upside-laden backup WR too early merely to cowl for a bye week. As an alternative, you may have time to see if he pops. Going with this, any participant you’ve got determined is not price a spot in your group will be dropped earlier than they’ve had a bye. By midseason, half the gamers you can add can have already had their bye, that means you are nearly choosing up an additional recreation on the wire.

That latter concept additionally applies to buying and selling. When you’re not in an lively league, this most likely turns into a moot level, however in case you’re buying and selling a participant with a late bye week and your buying and selling associate is not paying sufficient consideration, you would possibly “pick up an extra game” from a participant who’s already had a bye. Taking this bye-trading technique even additional, you can commerce a surplus for a participant on bye in say, Week 6, when an proprietor must fill a slot, however then you definately’ll have that new participant the remainder of the way in which after perhaps buying him at a price.

How this performs out in a draft: This technique basically cuts off a big portion of the participant pool. Fourteen groups have byes earlier than the four-week interval we selected to function in. Which means as a substitute of drafting from all 32 groups like everybody else, you are choosing from 18. That leaves you much less margin for error in making the best calls.

When you do not like every of those methods, I’m not likely positive what to let you know. You most likely at the very least wish to keep away from drafting two quarterbacks with the identical bye week, if nothing else. The identical could possibly be true for tight finish or protection (if it is smart in your league to draft two of these). Usually, use frequent sense. Bye weeks aren’t the factor that may make or break your season, however they might definitely make it a bit extra enjoyable in case you deal with them appropriately.


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