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College football teams to bet on with confidence in Week 3

College football teams to bet on with confidence in Week 3 1

In Week Three school soccer motion, there are a number of video games which have function purchase indicators based mostly on the betting behaviors thus far.

Stanford vs. at No. 17 UCF 

Opening line: UCF -7.5
Over-under: 59

Final week, the Cardinal had been on the opposite facet of the betting conduct extremes. The outcome was favorable as their Pac-12 Convention opponent USC — put in as 3-point dwelling favorites — dominated them in a 45-20 win and coated the unfold by 22 factors.

The opening line for this recreation in opposition to 17th-ranked UCF was priced with the Cardinal put in as 7.5 factors canine and -120 vigorish. 70 p.c of positioned bets have been on UCF, and I count on this proportion to extend between now and recreation time because the betting public will overreact to the Cardinal’s loss. So, it isn’t shocking to see the novice bettor on UCF.

The road has not modified from its opening value, and a few sportsbooks have it priced a 1.2-point decrease at 7. The truth that 70 p.c of the variety of bets have been on UCF, coupled with the road not transferring — if something, transferring reverse of the general public — displays that there are a bigger variety of bettors selecting up the worth introduced in a Cardinal wager. The shortage of line motion additionally tells us the sportsbooks have even or near-even cash on every group.

The wager: Stanford plus-7.5 factors

MORE: Get the newest school soccer odds at Sportsbook Evaluate

No. 2 Alabama at South Carolina

Opening line: Alabama -25.5 
Over-under: 60.5

Seventy-one p.c of the variety of bets being made on this matchup are on Alabama. Regardless of this overwhelming variety of monetary hackers, the road has shifted decrease to 25 factors at many sportsbooks. That is one other instance that the bigger bettors or ‘Smart Money’ is backing South Carolina. The share of bets on Alabama is predicted to climb larger — by 75 p.c — by recreation time, however the line just isn’t anticipated to maneuver larger with it. If that occasion turns into actuality, then it turns into a good stronger betting alternative on the Gamecocks.

The wager: South Carolina plus the factors

No. 5 Oklahoma at UCLA

Opening line: Oklahoma -22.5
Over-under: 72.5

Each week a number of video games exhibit the irrational exuberance based mostly on a one or two-game pattern dimension. This is identical sort of conduct that exists when the inventory markets kind unsustainable value bubbles, and everyone seems to be euphoric that costs will proceed rising indefinitely, solely to be shocked when the bubble bursts and costs collapse. There are all the time warning indicators and value patterns earlier than the collapse and the identical is true in sports activities betting.

On this matchup we’ve got a disappointing UCLA group that has performed badly of their first two video games (dropping to Group of 5 opponents Cincinnati and San Diego State). The ATS margin is 24 factors mixed in these two video games. By comparability, the Sooners have gained each of their video games by double digit straight-up. Of their final recreation they hammered South Dakota 77-14 and coated the 45-point unfold by 11 factors.

To date this week 72 p.c of the bets on this matchup have been on the Sooners. The road has moved larger because the sportsbooks are anticipating nonetheless larger betting flows backing the Sooners main as much as recreation time.

The higher worth is to wager the UNDER.

The underneath opened at 67 factors and has shortly risen to as excessive as 74 factors, with 73.5 being the most typical value. There was hardly any curiosity to wager the UNDER on this matchup after the Sooners put up 77 factors final week. The share of OVER bets will stay above 75 p.c going into recreation time barring any vital game-changing information. It provides a wonderful alternative to take the UNDER.

The wager: UCLA and Oklahoma to remain underneath 74 factors


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